This Week's Market Strategy - December 16, 2025 (Tue)

Market Report

USD/JPY is trading without a clear direction due to lack of catalysts.

Market participants appear to be aligning their levels ahead of the Bank of Japan monetary policy decision meeting to be held on the 18th and 19th.

The focus among today's US economic indicators is on

the November US employment statistics announced at 22:30 JST (forecast: non-farm payroll change 50,000 / unemployment rate 4.5% / average hourly earnings, month-on-month 0.3% / year-on-year 3.6%), and

October US retail sales (forecast: month-on-month 0.1% / excluding automobiles month-on-month 0.2%),

December US manufacturing PMI preliminary at 22:45 (forecast: 52.0), among others.

Technically for USD/JPY, the downside target is around 154.50 yen, and the upside target is around the 1-hour downtrend line at approximately 155.5 yen.

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